Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 15.994365 18.650360 21.541164 24.912274 28.726146 32.897560 37.795441
2025-02-16 11.133617 14.675341 18.934274 24.388283 31.137996 39.164881 49.375095
2025-02-23 8.353809 12.174061 17.151821 24.011233 33.101043 44.604126 60.111665
2025-03-02 6.589639 10.474388 15.894593 23.834223 34.958896 49.754545 70.633048
2025-03-09 5.328547 9.164499 14.854812 23.649612 36.579716 54.517430 80.815880
2025-03-16 4.072291 7.585445 13.125870 22.151870 36.052149 56.124732 86.628222
2025-03-23 3.571948 7.105535 12.962966 22.916447 38.816946 62.506803 99.517182
2025-03-30 3.223429 6.810631 13.032008 24.010554 42.125688 69.862969 114.248550
2025-04-06 2.673180 6.040670 12.179699 23.467060 42.751408 73.150402 123.042237
2025-04-13 2.139200 5.189690 11.048080 22.284346 42.172417 74.453363 128.787464
2025-04-20 1.987898 5.083411 11.259859 23.474494 45.649234 82.397058 145.359574
2025-04-27 1.904090 5.104497 11.710863 25.132479 50.043114 92.074182 165.200467
2025-05-04 1.655071 4.728181 11.365740 25.338585 52.032585 98.135961 179.947200
2025-05-11 1.409789 4.310752 10.883742 25.243387 53.506922 103.500714 194.014375
2025-05-18 1.187929 3.895441 10.335893 24.939096 54.545223 108.158225 207.146377
2025-05-25 1.011302 3.551895 9.887154 24.772425 55.808157 113.263446 221.304483
2025-06-01 0.861270 3.240724 9.458158 24.584709 56.991861 118.271866 235.537124
2025-06-08 0.668115 2.740314 8.476427 23.036648 55.267144 117.775149 239.894980
2025-06-15 0.610449 2.651423 8.518898 23.827393 58.432177 126.634464 261.637393
2025-06-22 0.571987 2.616852 8.698577 24.958596 62.401056 137.247084 287.109021
2025-06-29 0.476962 2.351668 8.203467 24.396721 62.662437 140.670785 299.358273
2025-07-06 0.377510 2.030517 7.483987 23.173785 61.338396 140.855308 305.464713
2025-07-13 0.359736 2.030430 7.711644 24.404408 65.644027 152.572362 334.201914